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FORECAST THREE: FINAL 2008 HOLTON WEATHER SNOW COMPUTER (HWSNO) MODEL SNOW DAY FORECASTS for (1) Australian Alps NSW-VIC: (2) Katoomba, Blue Mountains, NSW: & (3) Guyra NSW : Late August Issue: (Issued 29th August 2008):

Number of Snow Days Forecast Sept Forecast

Days of Snow

 Sept Mean

Days of Snow

 Sept Forecast

Snow Days

Above/ Below Mean

 Oct Forecast

Days of Snow

 Oct Mean

Days of Snow

 Oct Forecast

Snow Days

Above/ Below Mean

    
NSW-VIC Aust Alps Snow Days ***6.5days 4.8days ***Plus 1.7days 4.0 days 4.2 days Minus 0.2 days    
Katoomba: Blue Mountains NSW Snow Days 1.5 days 0.7 days Plus 0.8 days 1.0 days 0.2 days Plus 0.8 days    
Guyra: Great Divide North NSW Snow Days 0.8 days 0.6 days Plus 0.2 days 1.0 days 0.2 days Plus 0.8 days    

***NB: Although Snow Day Forecasts are Slightly Above Average Forecast for September 2008, higher temperatures at times are expected to cause reasonable snow melt and falling snow total levels.

Ian Holton, Holton Weather Forecasting Pty Ltd Disclaimer & Copyright: While care is taken in producing these forecasts and reports, no responsibility is taken for the use of them by the reader, or for the accuracy of these forecasts. These forecasts are copyright and may not be reproduced in any form or supplied to other persons without the authors's consent.

..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................

FORECAST TWO: NEW HOLTON WEATHER SNOW COMPUTER (HWSNO) MODEL UPDATED Free Monthly 2008 & ***NEW 2009 Snow Forecasts for (1) Perisher Valley & Spencers Creek-Australian Alps: (2) Katoomba, Blue Mountains, NSW: & (3) Guyra NSW : JULY 2008 & 2009 Issues: (Issued 29th July 2008):

Site / Snow Season Forecasts 2008 2008 Forecast 1991-2007 Mean 2008 Forecast Value: Above or Below Mean 1991-2007 Max Value & Year 1991-2007 Min Value & Year      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Maximum Snow Depth Forecast 2008 Snow Season 150cms 190cms Minus 40cms depth 315cms 1992 85cms 2006      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Mean Snow Depth July to Sept Inc Forecast 2008 120cms 140cms Minus 20cms depth 200cms 1992 & 2000 75 cms 2006      
Perisher Valley: Aust Alps July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 34 Days 46 days Minus 12 days of snow 74 days 1992 27 days 2006      
Katoomba: Blue Mountains NSW July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 5 days 4 days Plus 1 days of snow 7 days 1991 & 2000 0 days 2006      
Guyra: NE NSW Highlands July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 6 days 4 days Plus 2 days of snow 10 days 1996 0 days 2002      

Ian Holton, Holton Weather Forecasting Pty Ltd

Disclaimer & Copyright: While care is taken in producing these forecasts and reports, no responsibility is taken for the use of them by the reader, or for the accuracy of these forecasts. These forecasts are copyright and may not be reproduced in any form or supplied to other persons without the authors's consent.

Site / Snow Season Forecasts 2009 ***2009

Forecast

 1991-2007 Mean ***2009 Forecast Value: Above or Below Mean 1991-2007 Max Value & Year 1991-2007 Min Value & Year      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Maximum Snow Depth Forecast 2009 Snow Season 230cms 190cms Plus 40cms depth 315cms 1992 85cms 2006      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Mean Snow Depth July to Sept Inc Forecast 2009 150cms 140cms Plus 10cms depth 200cms 1992 & 2000 75 cms 2006      
Perisher Valley: Aust Alps July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2009 47 Days 46 days Plus 1 days of snow 74 days 1992 27 days 2006      
Katoomba: Blue Mountains NSW July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2009 4 days 4 days Plus 0 days of snow 7 days 1991 & 2000 0 days 2006      
Guyra: NE NSW Highlands July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2009 2 days 4 days Minus 2 days of snow 10 days 1996 0 days 2002      

Ian Holton, Holton Weather Forecasting Pty Ltd

Disclaimer & Copyright: While care is taken in producing these forecasts and reports, no responsibility is taken for the use of them by the reader, or for the accuracy of these forecasts. These forecasts are copyright and may not be reproduced in any form or supplied to other persons without the authors's consent.

FORECAST ONE: NEW HOLTON WEATHER SNOW COMPUTER (HWSNO) MODEL UPDATED Free Monthly 2008 Snow Forecasts for (1) Perisher Valley & Spencers Creek-Australian Alps: (2) Katoomba, Blue Mountains, NSW: & (3) Guyra NSW : JUNE 2008 Issue: (Issued 9th June 2008):

Notes: I have developed a new snow forecasting model (HWSNO) using more refined & accurate sea surface temperature input data.

The new (HWSNO) computer model should give quite accurate snow forecasts, based on test period samples.

Site / Snow Season Forecasts 2008 2008 Forecast 1991-2007 Mean 2008 Forecast Value: Above or Below Mean 1991-2007 Max Value & Year 1991-2007 Min Value & Year      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Maximum Snow Depth Forecast 2008 Snow Season 150cms 190cms Minus 40cms depth 315cms 1992 85cms 2006      
Spencers Creek: Aust Alps Mean Snow Depth July to Sept Inc Forecast 2008 110cms 140cms Minus 30cms depth 200cms 1992 & 2000 75 cms 2006      
Perisher Valley: Aust Alps July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 34 Days 45 days Minus 13 days of snow 74 days 1992 27 days 2006      
Katoomba: Blue Mountains NSW July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 7 days 4 days Plus 3 days of snow 7 days 1991 & 2000 0 days 2006      
Guyra: NE NSW Highlands July to Oct Inclusive Snow Day Total Forecast 2008 7 days 4 days Plus 3 days of snow 10 days 1996 0 days 2002      

Ian Holton, Holton Weather Forecasting Pty Ltd

Disclaimer & Copyright: While care is taken in producing these forecasts and reports, no responsibility is taken for the use of them by the reader, or for the accuracy of these forecasts. These forecasts are copyright and may not be reproduced in any form or supplied to other persons without the authors's consent.

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